NWS Winter Forecast

[Boyd]

Evidently we need a room full of scientists to arrive that this conclusion...

THE OFFICIAL CPC OUTLOOK FOR THE WINTER IS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF IT BEING EITHER WARMER OR COLDER THAN NORMAL AND EITHER WETTER OR DRIER THAN NORMAL.

But it's nice to see that they at least have a sense of humor

THE LATEST CONSENSUS OF ALL DYNAMICAL MODELS FOR A DECEMBER, JANUARY AND FEBRUARY AVERAGE IS A MR. BLUTARSKY 0.0 C.

Read the full report here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/reports/WinterAnalogs2013-14.pdf

 

[46er]

Evidently we need a room full of scientists to arrive that this conclusion...

But of course, it's the gubmint. All I need is my reliable and trusty Weather Rock and a clean window to view it.

Youngest son is in KY, weather there is calling for 1-2 inches of ice and highs approaching 20F over the next week. UGH!

 

[gipsie]

Where in KY? I have a piece of property in Dawson Springs and we will be heading there soon....eventually for good, but a few visits first. lol

 

[46er]

Where in KY? I have a piece of property in Dawson Springs and we will be heading there soon....eventually for good, but a few visits first. lol

He is hunkered down in a truck stop along I-24, just north of a little town called Oak Grove in the southwest part of the state. Very close to the TN border. Came thru the entire state from WV. I am his personal GPS unit

 

[gipsie]

About a half hour from my place. I am glad he has a good GPS, hehe. Good luck to him!

 

[46er]

An easy 4-5 inches of white fluffies on the ground. Sure came on quick.

 

[Boyd]

It was snowing pretty hard here tooe, more like 3 inches though. And it's becoming wetter, like it is about to change over to rain. Looks very wintery here.

 

[46er]

They just plowed the street here, right after I finished doing the driveway

 

[dogg57]

7 to 8 here

http://forecast.weather.gov/product...HI&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

 

[Gibby]

Only a few inches in Mercer county, but enough to play! I'm grabbing my snow shoes and a headlamp. An evening snowshoeing sounds like a good time to me, until it starts to rain...

 

[Boyd]

Wow - some people got a lot of snow! Thanks for the link Dogg.

 

[rjb]

Eight inches in South Toms River.

 

[Teegate]

I got 8. I heard the plows through the night.

 

[GermanG]

Only a few inches in Mercer county, but enough to play! I'm grabbing my snow shoes and a headlamp. An evening snowshoeing sounds like a good time to me, until it starts to rain...

I love nothing more than a nighttime hike in fresh or falling snow. I took a few-hour walk last night with the lab in the woods near my house. The dog jumped a fox while crossing the golf course on the way back home. I wouldn't have seen it if the ground wasn't snow-covered. Little things like that keep me going back for more.

 

[Boyd]

Get ready for some more....

This is for the purple part of the map
____________________________________________________
Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM
EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND...DELAWARE...MUCH OF
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AWAY FROM THE METRO
PHILADELPHIA AREA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SOME MINOR ICING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.
____________________________________________________

And this is for those lucky enough to be in the pink area.

____________________________________________________

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOWFALL.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER BY DUSK TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.

 

[46er]

Get ready for some more....

View attachment 4321

This is for the purple part of the map
____________________________________________________
Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM
EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND...DELAWARE...MUCH OF
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AWAY FROM THE METRO
PHILADELPHIA AREA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SOME MINOR ICING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.
____________________________________________________

And this is for those lucky enough to be in the pink area.

____________________________________________________

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
419 PM EST MON DEC 9 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOWFALL.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...BEGINNING BY DAWN TUESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER BY DUSK TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. ICY ROADS AFTER THE SNOW...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL BELOW FREEZING LATE TUESDAY...AND LAST FOR A FEW DAYS.

Aren't you a ray of sunshine

Guess I'll get the big one ready....

 

[Boyd]

 

[bobpbx]

What a bust. I've never seen such hype by the media in my life.

 

[46er]

 

[ecampbell]

Trying to tie it all together:
An exceptionally wet summer.
No hurricanes to speak of.
Early cold and snow.

A new macro weather pattern?
What's ahead for 2014?