Snow

Discussion in 'Nature and the Environment' started by dogg57, Nov 19, 2016.

  1. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    That forecast was totally wrong, we didn't get any new snow at all since yesterday morning.
     
  2. bobpbx

    bobpbx Piney
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    Like I said, forecasting has been poor lately.
     
  3. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Was watching that storm on radar, and there were some very long, narrow bands of snow - it looked unusual. I can understand how it would be hard to predict exactly where they drop snow.

    Anyway, I'm happy that I didn't get the 11" worst case in the forecast. 3 to 4 inches is plenty. :)
     
    bobpbx and 46er like this.
  4. 46er

    46er Piney

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    Even their totals are wrong, which is something that actually happened, not forecasted. Maybe their spotters were asleep. Note the 'we don't really know if its accurate or not' message on the bottom. We still have snow cover on the ground, streets are clear. Has not been above freezing yet today.


    [​IMG]
     
  5. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Just got back from a walk in the woods, and the 2.5" number shown on that map is about right for me. There was over 3" on my car when I cleared it yesterday morning, but now it has settled and there is certainly less than 3" on the ground out in the woods.
     
  6. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Here comes the next one....

    Hazardous Weather Outlook
    National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
    402 AM EST Tue Jan 15 2019

    This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
    Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New Jersey and southern New
    Jersey.

    .DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

    The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

    For Saturday and Sunday, a significant winter storm is probable,
    however the details including precipitation types and impacts are
    less certain at this time. A flash freeze is possible Sunday
    afternoon and night as arctic air pours into the area.
     
  7. 46er

    46er Piney

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    Yep; get the firewood in, the long-johns washed and the genset tested ;)

    Aimed right at us.

    [​IMG]
     
    #47 46er, Jan 15, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2019
  8. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Going through plenty of firewood already, it was still only 19 degrees here at 9:00 AM. ;)
     
  9. 46er

    46er Piney

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    If the stuff I am reading happens, that will seem downright warm.

    My annual contribution around this time ;)

    https://www.outsideonline.com/2152131/freezing-death
     
  10. enormiss

    enormiss Explorer

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    I'm off Monday, bring on the snow!
     
  11. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Well, I believe the storm is expected on Saturday into Sunday, and current forecasts suggest rain with temperatures in the mid 40's Saturday rising to around 50 Sunday. Then we will get the flash freeze Sunday night, so everything will be a sheet of ice Monday. :confused:
     
  12. 46er

    46er Piney

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  13. 46er

    46er Piney

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    Mondays projected min/max temps.

    Minimum

    [​IMG]


    Maximum

    [​IMG]
     
  14. this_is_nascar

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    I am not looking forward to these lows.
     

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  15. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Hazardous Weather Outlook
    National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
    345 PM EST Thu Jan 17 2019

    This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
    Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New Jersey and southern New
    Jersey.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

    A significant storm system will move across the region late Saturday
    through Sunday. While precipitation in this area looks to fall
    mainly as rain, there could be a brief period of snow at the onset
    Saturday evening. Heavy rain will then follow by overnight Saturday
    night into Sunday morning. The rain could be heavy enough to lead to
    flooding.

    Rain will come to an end by late day Sunday as a strong cold front
    moves through with strong NW winds and rapidly falling temperatures
    as arctic air rapidly moves in. This will lead to quick refreezing
    of wet surfaces causing very ice conditions.

    Dangerous wind chills Sunday night through Tuesday.
     
  16. 46er

    46er Piney

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  17. 46er

    46er Piney

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  18. bobpbx

    bobpbx Piney
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    "wet stuff is coming, we don't know what type it will be".

    That should be their new forecasting announcement. It was not supposed to snow here last night, so I did not put the car away. I got almost an inch on it now.
     
  19. Boyd

    Boyd Super Moderator
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    Right on the money here... they forecast 1/2" and that is what I got. :)
     
  20. 46er

    46er Piney

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    They've done it again. The Weather Company, i.e. IBM, has blown Intellicast out of the water; has it intertwined with Weather Underground. No announcement, just a morning surprise for some now angry folks on the eve of a significant weather event. Tsk, tsk, tsk; timing is everything.

    We received a dusting that is quickly melting.
     
    #60 46er, Jan 18, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2019