Winter Storm Watch

Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
The updated forecast map is pretty much the same, but now they seem more confident about the band of heavy snow, which is basically the whole Pines.


* Storm total snowfall of 2 to 5 inches is expected across much of the region.

* A narrow band of heavy snow is likely to setup with amounts of up to around 7 inches. The highest probability for this being south and east of the I-95 corridor (highlighted area on the snowfall forecast map).

* Within the narrow band, snowfall rates up to 2 inches per hour are possible.
 

Teegate

Administrator
Site Administrator
Sep 17, 2002
23,703
5,658
Coming down well right now. Looking out the window I would say 2 inches so far.
 

Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
At least for me, they really missed the mark on this one. Looks like about two inches - not complaining though. :)

Code:
...Atlantic County...
 Somers Point                 2.3 in    0520 AM 01/07   Public               
 
 ...Burlington County...
 Medford                      5.1 in    0559 AM 01/07   Public               
 Browns Mills                 3.5 in    0622 AM 01/07   Public               
 
 ...Camden County...
 1 N West Berlin              3.2 in    0538 AM 01/07   NWS Employee         
 
 ...Middlesex County...
 East Brunswick               3.0 in    0556 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Monmouth County...
 Howell                       5.0 in    0616 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 Neptune City                 3.6 in    0536 AM 01/07   Public               
 Freehold                     2.8 in    0515 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Morris County...
 Dover                        2.0 in    0337 AM 01/07   Public               
 Chester                      1.0 in    1212 AM 01/07   Public               
 
 ...Ocean County...
 Brick                        2.0 in    0522 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 Forked River                 2.0 in    0430 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Salem County...
 Pennsville                   3.0 in    0530 AM 01/07   Public               
 
 ...Somerset County...
 Warren                       4.5 in    0520 AM 01/07   Public               
 
 ...Sussex County...
 Highland Lakes               2.4 in    0620 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 4 WSW Wantage Twp            1.2 in    0424 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Warren County...
 Hackettstown                 3.4 in    0600 AM 01/07   Public
 

bobpbx

Piney
Staff member
Oct 25, 2002
12,407
2,630
Pines; Bamber area
I don't know, I must be in Somerset County.
1641564220441.png
 
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Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Updated snowfall totals. Maybe you are still in Ocean County after all? :D Have not been outside yet, was just looking out the window and can't even see the car. I probably did get more like 4", but the ground was still warm when it started, the last snow had already melted on my unpaved driveway. So this snow probably was compacted on the ground. Anyway, this is nothing like the 13" we had last time!

[edit]Just had a look... about three inches on the car roof.

Code:
...Atlantic County...
 Atlantic City International  4.2 in    0700 AM 01/07   ASOS             
 1 WSW Smithville             3.8 in    0747 AM 01/07   Public           
 Somers Point                 2.3 in    0520 AM 01/07   Public           
 
 ...Burlington County...
 Shamong                      6.0 in    0647 AM 01/07   Public           
 2 SW Medford                 5.5 in    0700 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Medford                      5.1 in    0559 AM 01/07   Public           
 Tabernacle                   5.0 in    0647 AM 01/07   Public           
 Florence                     5.0 in    0710 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Lumberton                    5.0 in    0720 AM 01/07   Public           
 2 SSE Yardville              5.0 in    0730 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 3 N Mount Laurel             5.0 in    0742 AM 01/07   Public           
 1 WNW South Jersey Regional  4.6 in    0730 AM 01/07   NWS Employee     
 Burlington Twp               4.5 in    0630 AM 01/07   NWS Employee     
 Mount Holly WFO              4.4 in    0700 AM 01/07   Official NWS Obs 
 Mount Laurel                 4.2 in    0700 AM 01/07   CO-OP Observer   
 Delran                       4.0 in    0700 AM 01/07   Public           
 Burlington                   4.0 in    0708 AM 01/07   Public           
 Browns Mills                 3.5 in    0622 AM 01/07   Public           
 Cinnaminson                  2.7 in    0630 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Camden County...
 Berlin                       6.0 in    0750 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 West Berlin                  5.5 in    0800 AM 01/07   Public           
 Sicklerville                 4.8 in    0754 AM 01/07   Public           
 Cherry Hill                  4.2 in    0700 AM 01/07   Public           
 Cherry Hill Twp              4.0 in    0744 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Cape May County...
 2 NW Cape May                3.0 in    0700 AM 01/07   CO-OP Observer   
 Cape May                     2.3 in    0736 AM 01/07   Public           
 
 ...Gloucester County...
 Malaga                       6.0 in    0720 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Williamstown                 5.5 in    0730 AM 01/07   Broadcast Media  
 Pitman                       5.0 in    0656 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Williamstown                 4.0 in    0638 AM 01/07   Public           
 West Deptford Twp            4.0 in    0650 AM 01/07   Public           
 East Greenwich Twp           4.0 in    0730 AM 01/07   Emergency Mngr   
 
 ...Hunterdon County...
 Whitehouse Station           5.0 in    0705 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Lebanon                      5.0 in    0745 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Whitehouse Station           4.5 in    0643 AM 01/07   Public           
 Tewksbury Twp                4.5 in    0735 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Readington Twp               4.3 in    0730 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Mercer County...
 2 SE Lawrence Twp            4.7 in    0700 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Hamilton Twp                 4.5 in    0745 AM 01/07   Public           
 Ewing                        4.5 in    0750 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Middlesex County...
 North Brunswick              4.7 in    0755 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 East Brunswick               3.0 in    0556 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Monmouth County...
 Howell                       5.0 in    0616 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Long Branch                  5.0 in    0630 AM 01/07   Public           
 3 NE Perrineville            4.0 in    0628 AM 01/07   Public           
 Neptune City                 3.6 in    0536 AM 01/07   Public           
 Freehold                     2.8 in    0515 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Morris County...
 Rockaway                     3.0 in    0715 AM 01/07   Public           
 Dover                        2.0 in    0337 AM 01/07   Public           
 
 ...Ocean County...
 Brick                        5.0 in    0700 AM 01/07   Public           
 1 WNW Barnegat               4.7 in    0700 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Barnegat Twp                 4.7 in    0700 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Bayville                     4.0 in    0730 AM 01/07   Public           
 Brick                        4.0 in    0745 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Forked River                 2.0 in    0430 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Brick                        2.0 in    0522 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Salem County...
 Pennsville                   3.0 in    0530 AM 01/07   Public           
 
 ...Somerset County...
 Warren                       5.5 in    0630 AM 01/07   Public           
 Branchburg Twp               5.0 in    0715 AM 01/07   Public           
 Bridgewater                  4.5 in    0630 AM 01/07   Public           
 1 E Warren                   3.7 in    0745 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 
 ...Sussex County...
 Highland Lakes               2.5 in    0720 AM 01/07   Public           
 Highland Lakes               2.4 in    0620 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Wantage Twp                  2.1 in    0641 AM 01/07   Public           
 4 WSW Wantage Twp            1.8 in    0645 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Branchville                  1.5 in    0750 AM 01/07   Public           
 
 ...Warren County...
 Mansfield Twp                4.5 in    0730 AM 01/07   Cocorahs         
 2 E Mansfield Twp            4.0 in    0750 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Hackettstown                 3.5 in    0745 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Hackettstown                 3.4 in    0600 AM 01/07   Public           
 Stewartsville                2.9 in    0715 AM 01/07   Trained Spotter  
 Blairstown                   2.1 in    0700 AM 01/07   Cocorahs
 
Last edited:
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enormiss

Explorer
Aug 18, 2015
343
161
Atco NJ
At least for me, they really missed the mark on this one...

That was the last storm for me, this forecast was pretty good here (and didn't flip/flop a bunch either)
Roads were covered on my way to Philly 5AM ish and a few co-workers had "offroad" excursions
 
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Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Another one is coming this weekend but it's not clear exactly how it will affect us. Most of what I've read suggests that we will dodge the worst effects and get snow that transitions into rain. This is what the Natl Weather Service is predicting at this point

Screen Shot 2022-01-13 at 3.56.21 PM.png


 

Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
National Weather Service briefing now available. No change to the map above. They will be updating at 6:00 PM.

_______________________________________
Event Summary

* Minor tree and line damage will be possible for coastal locations Sunday night as wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected

* Minor coastal flooding is expected with the Monday morning high tide with locally moderate coastal flooding is possible on the northern NJ coast

* Wintry precipitation late Sunday afternoon through early Monday could cause hazardous travel conditions especially Sunday evening into Sunday night when the precipitation is snow or changing to a wintry mix. The area most likely to be affected is the southern Poconos and NW NJ
 

bobpbx

Piney
Staff member
Oct 25, 2002
12,407
2,630
Pines; Bamber area
I see on the news that the near southern states are going to be hit very hard by ice. 1/2" in some places and possible 2 feet of snow in the Apalachians. I'm very glad to receive just rain.
 
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Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Updated briefing shows pretty much the same snow pattern as above. For the Pines, looks like high winds on Monday will be the main issue.


* Wintry precipitation this afternoon through early Monday could cause hazardous travel conditions especially into tonight when the precipitation is snow or changing to a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain. The area most likely to be affected is the southern Poconos, with lesser impacts in the Lehigh Valley and NW NJ, and down towards I-95.

* Minor tree and line damage will be possible for coastal locations tonight as wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected. Gale force winds expected on the waters.

* Power outages possible in the southern Poconos where strong winds could occur after snow and ice has already begun to accumulate.

* Minor coastal flooding is expected with the Monday morning high tide on the northern NJ coast. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect.

* Strong NW winds are likely on Monday afternoon and Monday night for southeast PA and most of NJ. A Wind Advisory may be needed.


Screen Shot 2022-01-16 at 7.45.16 AM.png
 

Boyd

Administrator
Site Administrator
Jul 31, 2004
8,072
1,752
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Code:
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1209 PM EST MON JAN 17 2022

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS SO FAR...

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
ATLANTIC CITY                52 MPH    1055 PM 01/16   ASOS                 
PLEASANTVILLE POINT          50 MPH    0107 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
ATLANTIC CITY                49 MPH    1225 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL  49 MPH    0100 AM 01/17   MESONET              
FORSYTHE                     42 MPH    0125 AM 01/17   RAWS                 

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
MCGUIRE AFB                  47 MPH    0133 AM 01/17   AWOS                 
SILAS LITTLE                 45 MPH    0105 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
TABERNACLE                   38 MPH    0126 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
LUMBERTON                    37 MPH    0105 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
MOORESTOWN                   35 MPH    1240 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
MOUNT HOLLY                  35 MPH    0101 AM 01/17   ASOS                 
SPRINGFIELD TWP.             35 MPH    0205 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              

...CAMDEN COUNTY...
PENNSAUKEN                   41 MPH    1250 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
OCEAN CITY                   59 MPH    1252 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
WILDWOOD                     56 MPH    1228 AM 01/17   AWOS                 
CAPE MAY                     51 MPH    1144 PM 01/16   WXFLOW               
WOODBINE                     41 MPH    1245 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
WEST CAPE MAY                38 MPH    1225 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
OCEAN CITY                   38 MPH    1245 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
DENNIS TWP.                  37 MPH    1210 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
WOODBINE MUNI                36 MPH    1031 PM 01/16   AWOS                 
CAPE MAY POINT               36 MPH    1135 PM 01/16   CWOP                 
CAPE MAY                     35 MPH    1224 AM 01/17   AWOS                 
STONE HARBOR                 35 MPH    0735 AM 01/17   DAVIS                

...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT  48 MPH    1250 AM 01/17   MESONET              
FORTESQUE                    47 MPH    1240 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
MILLVILLE                    46 MPH    1130 PM 01/16   ASOS                 
UPPER DEERFIELD              37 MPH    1245 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
LOGAN TWP.                   41 MPH    0235 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
MICKLETON                    35 MPH    1245 AM 01/17   CWOP                 

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
RINGOES                      41 MPH    0236 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
KINGWOOD                     40 MPH    0400 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
PITTSTOWN                    37 MPH    1130 PM 01/16   NJWXNET              

...MERCER COUNTY...
TRENTON                      40 MPH    0206 AM 01/17   ASOS                 

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
HOPELAWN                     66 MPH    0230 AM 01/17   PUBLIC               
NEW BRUNSWICK                44 MPH    0225 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
PERTH AMBOY                  40 MPH    0248 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
CARTERET                     38 MPH    1216 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
EDISON                       36 MPH    0145 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
SOUTH AMBOY                  35 MPH    0145 AM 01/17   DAVIS                

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
SEA GIRT                     50 MPH    0150 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
BELMAR FARMDALE              46 MPH    0142 AM 01/17   AWOS                 
MONMOUTH                     46 MPH    0219 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
WALL TWP.                    42 MPH    1250 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
CREAM RIDGE                  42 MPH    0155 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
MONMOUTH BEACH               42 MPH    0216 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
MILLSTONE TOWNSHIP           41 MPH    0135 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
MONMOUTH BEACH               40 MPH    0216 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS           39 MPH    0140 AM 01/17   DAVIS                
OCEANPORT                    39 MPH    0230 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
HOLMDEL                      38 MPH    0140 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
KEYPORT                      37 MPH    0201 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
HIGHLANDS                    36 MPH    0200 AM 01/17   DAVIS                
NEPTUNE CITY                 35 MPH    0105 AM 01/17   AWS                  

...MORRIS COUNTY...
RANDOLPH                     37 MPH    0345 AM 01/17   CWOP                 

...OCEAN COUNTY...
SEASIDE HEIGHTS              61 MPH    1221 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
2 SW BEACH HAVEN             59 MPH    0121 AM 01/17   MESONET              
BEACH HAVEN                  59 MPH    0126 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
MANTOLOKING                  57 MPH    1252 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
TUCKERTON                    54 MPH    1231 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
TRIXIES                      51 MPH    0104 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
SURF CITY                    50 MPH    1100 PM 01/16   CWOP                 
HARVEY CEDARS                50 MPH    1235 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
RUTGERS                      49 MPH    1240 AM 01/17   WXFLOW               
SEASIDE HEIGHTS              49 MPH    0150 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
LAKEHURST NAS                48 MPH    0141 AM 01/17   AWOS                 
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK           46 MPH    1239 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
BRICK                        46 MPH    0215 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
BERKELEY TWP.                44 MPH    0120 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
NORTH BEACH HAVEN            43 MPH    1229 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
POINT PLEASANT               38 MPH    0140 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
CEDAR BRIDGE USFS            37 MPH    0115 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
SHIP BOTTOM                  36 MPH    1236 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
MANTOLOKING                  36 MPH    1255 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
JACKSON                      36 MPH    0130 AM 01/17   CWOP                 
BEACH HAVEN WEST             35 MPH    1105 PM 01/16   DAVIS                
SEASIDE PARK                 35 MPH    1250 AM 01/17   DAVIS                
POINT PLEASANT BEACH         35 MPH    0140 AM 01/17   DAVIS                

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
HILLSBOROUGH TWP             46 MPH    1250 AM 01/17   MESONET              

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
HIGH POINT MONUMENT          49 MPH    0300 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
HIGH POINT                   42 MPH    0359 AM 01/17   MESONET              
SUSSEX                       37 MPH    0217 AM 01/17   ASOS                 

...WARREN COUNTY...
HACKETTSTOWN                 40 MPH    0445 AM 01/17   NJWXNET              
HACKETTSTOWN                 37 MPH    0410 AM 01/17   DAVIS
 
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