Anyone remember Ash Wednesday '62?
- Thread starter 46er
- Start date
Indeed; things are just beginning to move in a positive way from the October storm, but the beaches are in horrendous condition.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY AND THE RAIN WILL
PROBABLY CHANGE TO WET SNOW AT TIMES....POSSIBLY WITH BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW. A PERIOD OR TWO OF STRONG NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO POSSIBLY
60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
MODERATE TO POSSIBLY MAJOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST OF DELAWARE WITH AT LEAST MINOR...IF NOT MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST.
A WINTER STORM WATCH...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND HIGH WIND WATCH "MAY"
BE ISSUED FOR THE APPROPRIATE PORTIONS OF OUR AREA IN OUR 330 PM
FORECASTS. WE STILL HAVEN`T EVALUATED ALL THE DAYTIME GUIDANCE TO
BE SURE ON OUR COURSE OF ACTION.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH WOULD BE FROM ROUGHLY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY
MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING FROM THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO FAR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND CECIL COUNTY OF
NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND THEN POSSIBLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF
OF NEW JERSEY FOR WEDNESDAY MID AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SHOULD LESSEN
THE POTENTIAL AMOUNT OF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR BOTH THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC COASTS FOR THE MID WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND PREDAWN THURSDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THIS WATCH WILL
PROBABLY NOT INCLUDE ANY OF THE TIDAL DELAWARE.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IF WE ISSUE...WOULD PROBABLY BE FOR CAPE MAY
COUNTY...COASTAL MONMOUTH... COASTAL OCEAN AND COASTAL ATLANTIC
COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY THROUGH SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE WHERE THERE
IS GREATEST CONFIDENCE FOR A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS
EXCEEDING 40 MILES PER HOUR WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO NEAR 60.
AGAIN THIS A POSSIBILITY FOR OUR 330 PM PRODUCTS AND THE ABOVE
OUTLINES OUR AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN.
MINOR CHANGES IN LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE AND TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW MAY RESULT IN LARGE CHANGES TO THE OUTCOME.
PLEASE MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY SUBSTANTIAL COASTAL STORM.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1127 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY AND THE RAIN WILL
PROBABLY CHANGE TO WET SNOW AT TIMES....POSSIBLY WITH BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW. A PERIOD OR TWO OF STRONG NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO POSSIBLY
60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
MODERATE TO POSSIBLY MAJOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST OF DELAWARE WITH AT LEAST MINOR...IF NOT MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST.
A WINTER STORM WATCH...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND HIGH WIND WATCH "MAY"
BE ISSUED FOR THE APPROPRIATE PORTIONS OF OUR AREA IN OUR 330 PM
FORECASTS. WE STILL HAVEN`T EVALUATED ALL THE DAYTIME GUIDANCE TO
BE SURE ON OUR COURSE OF ACTION.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH WOULD BE FROM ROUGHLY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY
MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING FROM THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO FAR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND CECIL COUNTY OF
NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND THEN POSSIBLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF
OF NEW JERSEY FOR WEDNESDAY MID AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SHOULD LESSEN
THE POTENTIAL AMOUNT OF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR BOTH THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE ATLANTIC COASTS FOR THE MID WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND PREDAWN THURSDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THIS WATCH WILL
PROBABLY NOT INCLUDE ANY OF THE TIDAL DELAWARE.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IF WE ISSUE...WOULD PROBABLY BE FOR CAPE MAY
COUNTY...COASTAL MONMOUTH... COASTAL OCEAN AND COASTAL ATLANTIC
COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY THROUGH SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE WHERE THERE
IS GREATEST CONFIDENCE FOR A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS
EXCEEDING 40 MILES PER HOUR WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO NEAR 60.
AGAIN THIS A POSSIBILITY FOR OUR 330 PM PRODUCTS AND THE ABOVE
OUTLINES OUR AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN.
MINOR CHANGES IN LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE AND TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW MAY RESULT IN LARGE CHANGES TO THE OUTCOME.
PLEASE MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY SUBSTANTIAL COASTAL STORM.
My recollection of the '62 storm is that it stalled off the coast for several days. This didn't let the high tides ebb and when the next high tide came it just piled on. I know the Belmar boardwalk suffered heavy damage. I think LBI was cut through in two places. Lots of rain. Post storm the Belmar beach had a lot of dead sea horses washed up.
USS Monssen was under tow when the storm hit, broke loose and landed on LBI. I think there was another that suffered a similar fate.
NOAA's reasonable worst case for the next couple of days. HA! Snowblower is summerized and headed for he shed.
Am I understanding that map correctly? It seems to show 12 to 15 inches of snow for South Jersey? Haven't seen anyone else predicting that....
Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
423 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...PHILADELPHIA AND ITS
NEARBY PENNSYLVANIA SUBURBS.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.
* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE
DAY...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO ALL SNOW TOWARD EVENING.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE FREEZING AND THIS WILL
ASSIST MELTING ON TREATED SURFACES. NEVERTHELESS...SOME SLUSHY
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE AREA DURING AND GETTING
MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...EXPECT TRAVEL TO GET MORE DIFFICULT AS THE THIS EVENING
COMMUTE PROCEEDS. THERE IS THE CHANCE THAT ENOUGH WET SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE ON LIMBS AND WIRES AND COUPLED WITH THE WIND TO CAUSE
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES.
* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
423 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
* LOCATIONS...MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...PHILADELPHIA AND ITS
NEARBY PENNSYLVANIA SUBURBS.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.
* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE
DAY...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO ALL SNOW TOWARD EVENING.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE FREEZING AND THIS WILL
ASSIST MELTING ON TREATED SURFACES. NEVERTHELESS...SOME SLUSHY
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE AREA DURING AND GETTING
MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...EXPECT TRAVEL TO GET MORE DIFFICULT AS THE THIS EVENING
COMMUTE PROCEEDS. THERE IS THE CHANCE THAT ENOUGH WET SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE ON LIMBS AND WIRES AND COUPLED WITH THE WIND TO CAUSE
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES.
* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.