Pine Barrens in for late season hurricane or big northeaster?
- Thread starter rjb
- Start date
Probably waited until the last minue, since many people are still unhappy about the decision to evacuate during Irene...
Check out the marine forcast.
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS AROUND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT...SUBSIDING
TO 12 TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
http://weather.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/fmtbltn.pl?file=forecasts/marine/coastal/an/anz450.txt&ti
MON NIGHT
NE WINDS AROUND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT...SUBSIDING
TO 12 TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
http://weather.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/fmtbltn.pl?file=forecasts/marine/coastal/an/anz450.txt&ti
NOAA buoy chart. Click on the red or yellow diamonds for that buoy locations stats.
South Hatteras, which is just to the NNE of the storm has a wave height of 22.3 ft.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/?lat=39.825413&lon=-71.191406&zoom=6&type=h&status=r&pgm=&op=&ls=false
South Hatteras, which is just to the NNE of the storm has a wave height of 22.3 ft.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/?lat=39.825413&lon=-71.191406&zoom=6&type=h&status=r&pgm=&op=&ls=false
It is reassuring to see forward thinking from our state officials this time. Governor Christie ordered the lowering of water levels in strategic reservoirs and lakes. A close friend of mine, who works for the DEP and advises the Governor, battled with the state when Irene made land fall to do this. His argument most have worked this time.
http://www.examiner.com/article/new...s-preparation-for-flooding-from-sandy?cid=rss
http://www.examiner.com/article/new...s-preparation-for-flooding-from-sandy?cid=rss
I live ten feet from the bay. I evacuated for Irene last summer, but I'm going to ride this one out. I have been in two Cat 1 hurricanes. 80mph winds aren't going to bring the house down, and Sandy's winds probably won't even be that strong. Sure, I have some concerns about the water, but unless it undermines the foundation of the house, it's not going to reach the third floor. And if worse comes to worse, I have a Switlik with an EPIRB beacon.
http://www.boatbandit.com/switlik-rescue-pod-four-person-pod-in-soft-valise-2326.aspx
http://www.boatbandit.com/switlik-rescue-pod-four-person-pod-in-soft-valise-2326.aspx
The current NWS forecast is "only" calling for wind gusts of 60 mph. But, from what I've read, the difference is that they will continue for much longer than Irene. I would not want to be right on the coast this time myself. I may be old, but I ain't crazy. 
Just looking at the NWS site, they have moved the projected track a little to the North with landfall around Long Beach Island. Not sure how much this will matter though because the storm is so huge it is going to affect all of us. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/085338.shtml?gm_track#contents
Being a few hundred yards from the bay, I'd likely be pulling up stakes, mandatory order or not. With a wife and three kids to think of, it seems the sanest thing to do, mandatory or not.
I'm considering sending them off and discreetly hiding out here anyway. I'd prefer not to impose on family or friends with two dopey labs in tow.
When considering your decisions, remember the likes of this storm has never been seen. All the projections are really educated guesses, as these conditions have never been felt before. Rather safe than sorry in my book.
This site from Stevens Institute, awful lot of stuff here, may help in decison making. Calling for 28 ft surf height at IBSP and LBI. I can imagine what the bays will look like.
Stay safe all.
http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/
This site from Stevens Institute, awful lot of stuff here, may help in decison making. Calling for 28 ft surf height at IBSP and LBI. I can imagine what the bays will look like.
Stay safe all.
http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/
This is a good page to watch the jersey shore
http://thesurfersview.com/live-beach-cams/south-jersey/beach-haven-lbi
http://thesurfersview.com/live-beach-cams/south-jersey/beach-haven-lbi