RAIN?

Teegate

Administrator
Site Administrator
Sep 17, 2002
21,686
3,673
1,093
I have been. I have plenty of places to go but they are all mostly in swamps.
 

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
333 AM EST Wed Dec 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northern
Delaware, southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New
Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New
Jersey, east central Pennsylvania and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Another soaking rain event is expected Thursday night and Friday.
Given recent wet conditions across the area and potential for
locally heavy rain with this upcoming storm system, instances of
urban, small stream, and river flooding may occur.
 

Teegate

Administrator
Site Administrator
Sep 17, 2002
21,686
3,673
1,093
It is moving slightly east so the train of rain may end before the caboose gets to us.
 
Last edited:

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Their estimate wasn't so bad....

Screen Shot 2018-12-29 at 12.30.29 PM.png


And guess what? More rain is on the way! :dance:

Monday: New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday Night: New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
 

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Those rainfall totals are derived from radar imagery, so they may not be entirely accurate. Using my trusty old wheelbarrow "rain gage", I had about two inches, maybe a bit more. That would corrrespond with the yellow band in the image above, however I am located a number of miles away from that area.

Yeah, it's wet out there. My uplands never dried out from the previous rain and the flooded areas have gotten larger and deeper. My lowlands are completely flooded with the creek over its banks. Driving around yesterday, I saw quite a few homes with "lakes" in their yards. But it looks like they have lowered the rain totals in tomorrow's forecast now.
 

46er

Piney
Mar 24, 2004
8,384
1,875
1,093
Coastal NJ
Very light snow shower here. The water table in some area's is definitely higher. My sisters basement has never had water, their sump pump has not stopped since before Christmas.

Anyone know the total rainfall since 12/1?
 
Last edited:

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Anyone know the total rainfall since 12/1?
You can view current and historical data here. This image shows the past 30 days. My home is in the heaviest area! But I have seen at least two other extended periods with worse flooding since I moved to Atlantic County in 2006, so I don't think this is a record (yet).

https://water.weather.gov/precip/index.php?analysis_date=1546128000&lat=39.5336668121&location_name=NJ&location_type=state&lon=-74.9754103760&precip_layer=0.75&product=observed&recent_type=today&rfc_layer=-1&state_layer=1&hsa_layer=-1&county_layer=-1&time_frame=last30days&time_type=recent&units=eng&zoom=8&domain=current

Screen Shot 2018-12-30 at 11.07.54 AM.png
 

46er

Piney
Mar 24, 2004
8,384
1,875
1,093
Coastal NJ
Thanks Boyd. Using the standard baseline of inches of rain x 10= inches of snow, we would have had 60-80" of the white stuff. That baseline is good for a temp of 28-34f. 20-28f changes the snow base to 15, and as follows;

15-19f change to 20
10-14 to 30
0-9 to 40

Don't think we have to be concerned about lower temps until global cooling kicks in. ;)
 

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Doesn't look like there is much white stuff in the immediate future. The NWS forecast for the next week shows temperatures above freezing, even at night. :)
 

Boyd

Super Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
Jul 31, 2004
6,863
1,169
1,093
Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Here are a few different ways to look at last year. For a quick summary... most of the pines got 60 to 70 inches of precipitation with a few areas as high as 80 inches. That is more than 20 inches above normal for most of the pines, although some areas were only 16 inches. That works out to 125% to 200% more than normal, depending on location.

Total 2018 precipitation

2018total.jpg



2018 departure from normal

2018normal.jpg


2018 percentage above normal precipitation

2018percent.jpg
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Toothy Critter