Another comment on Matthew-jumped to a category 4. Looks like the models suggest that it could go right up the East coast. Keep an eye out!
RAIN?
- Thread starter dogg57
- Start date
Just great! I had all new windows put in a month ago and this was the first hard rain we had and the large window of the baw window is leaking. The other night Jessica noticed it and we had to put a towel down to absorb the water. When I got up yesterday morning it was soaked. It was laying on the freshly stained wood. We have a call in to have them look at it. It appears to be just a 6 inch to a foot section at the bottom that is not sealed properly.
So hopefully we can solve this problem before we have substantial rain again.
So hopefully we can solve this problem before we have substantial rain again.
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We are really getting caught up on rain, looks like about 3 to 4 inches has fallen here so far. Not so keen on the idea of a hurricane though… 
Make sure everything is dry, especially any wall insulation, before they fix it. Being wet is how mold starts.
And look up. Bay windows usually leak from the top even if the water shows up on the sill.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST COAST BY SATURDAY. THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
THE TRACK OF MATTHEW BEYOND THIS POINT. THEREFORE, IT IS TOO EARLY
TO SAY WHETHER MATTHEW WILL CURVE OUT TO SEA OR TAKE A MORE
NORTHWARD TRACK CLOSER TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER IN THE
WEEKEND. THE LATTER SCENARIO WOULD PRODUCE MORE DIRECT IMPACTS
FROM THE TROPICAL SYSTEM BUT EVEN AN OFFSHORE TRACK COULD BRING
THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SOMETIME THIS WEEKEND. PLEASE
MONITOR THE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE MATTHEW.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST COAST BY SATURDAY. THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
THE TRACK OF MATTHEW BEYOND THIS POINT. THEREFORE, IT IS TOO EARLY
TO SAY WHETHER MATTHEW WILL CURVE OUT TO SEA OR TAKE A MORE
NORTHWARD TRACK CLOSER TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER IN THE
WEEKEND. THE LATTER SCENARIO WOULD PRODUCE MORE DIRECT IMPACTS
FROM THE TROPICAL SYSTEM BUT EVEN AN OFFSHORE TRACK COULD BRING
THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SOMETIME THIS WEEKEND. PLEASE
MONITOR THE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE MATTHEW.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
439 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST BY SATURDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM REMAINING SOUTH AND
EAST OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD MINIMIZE IMPACTS
TO THE REGION. HOWEVER, ANY CHANGES COULD BRING THE TRACK FURTHER
NORTH WOULD INCREASE IMPACT. PLEASE MONITOR THE FORECAST FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE
MATTHEW.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
439 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST BY SATURDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM REMAINING SOUTH AND
EAST OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD MINIMIZE IMPACTS
TO THE REGION. HOWEVER, ANY CHANGES COULD BRING THE TRACK FURTHER
NORTH WOULD INCREASE IMPACT. PLEASE MONITOR THE FORECAST FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE
MATTHEW.
Latest (and possibly the last) briefing package from the NWS. Hope they're right. 
http://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
_________________________________________
Issued: Wednesday, October 5, 2016 – 10 AM
Next Briefing: None Scheduled at this Time.
Threat of Impacts from Hurricane Matthew to Our Area are Less Likely
Overview:
While Hurricane Matthew weakened slightly overnight to a category 3 storm, it remains a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, located just north of eastern Cuba. Matthew is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph, and this motion is expected to continue today, followed by a northwestward turn tonight.
There is now better consensus among the various models concerning the future track of Matthew, curving it out to sea off the coast of North Carolina later this week. If this does indeed occur, Mathew’s impact on our area would be more limited. This would just include minor tidal flooding, sub-severe gusty winds and perhaps some moderate rain, especially toward the coast and over the coastal waters. The timing of these impacts, if they do occur will most likely be this weekend.
While there are still uncertainties associated with this hurricane and it’s future movement, this will be the final briefing package issued for this storm, unless it poses a more significant threat to our area. Please stay tuned to the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and the local National Weather Service Forecast Office in Mount Holly to maintain situational awareness concerning Matthew’s future behavior.
http://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
_________________________________________
Issued: Wednesday, October 5, 2016 – 10 AM
Next Briefing: None Scheduled at this Time.
Threat of Impacts from Hurricane Matthew to Our Area are Less Likely
Overview:
While Hurricane Matthew weakened slightly overnight to a category 3 storm, it remains a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, located just north of eastern Cuba. Matthew is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph, and this motion is expected to continue today, followed by a northwestward turn tonight.
There is now better consensus among the various models concerning the future track of Matthew, curving it out to sea off the coast of North Carolina later this week. If this does indeed occur, Mathew’s impact on our area would be more limited. This would just include minor tidal flooding, sub-severe gusty winds and perhaps some moderate rain, especially toward the coast and over the coastal waters. The timing of these impacts, if they do occur will most likely be this weekend.
While there are still uncertainties associated with this hurricane and it’s future movement, this will be the final briefing package issued for this storm, unless it poses a more significant threat to our area. Please stay tuned to the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and the local National Weather Service Forecast Office in Mount Holly to maintain situational awareness concerning Matthew’s future behavior.
NHC web site has been down since this evening.
Looking like it may be going back over itself across FL and into the Gulf. One crazy storm.
Looking like it may be going back over itself across FL and into the Gulf. One crazy storm.
This is showing a different scenario. If true it does not look good for us.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/a636869c-9cbf-3ab2-8aab-5397bb3cb9d1/ss_most-powerful-storm-in-a.html
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/a636869c-9cbf-3ab2-8aab-5397bb3cb9d1/ss_most-powerful-storm-in-a.html
The site that article references has a different forecast that is in agreement with the NHC. Click on 'Read More'.
I don't see anything worrisome there, maybe they changed the article? Looking at the NWS for our area, they are saying a 50% chance of between 1/10" to 1/4" rain on Saturday, then a 40% chance of 1/10" or less Saturday night. After that, no rain at all for next week.
DEP Schedules October 20 Public Hearing for Possible Drought Warning for Much of New Jersey
DROUGHT WATCH ISSUED FOR LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN PART OF STATE
(16/P93) TRENTON – The Department of Environmental Protection has scheduled an Oct. 20 public hearing in anticipation of designating a formal drought warning for 12 counties in the northeastern, central and northern coastal regions of New Jersey, a step that will enable the DEP to work with suppliers to balance storage among reservoir systems.
The hearing, scheduled for 10 a.m. at the Millburn Free Public Library, 200 Glen Avenue, Millburn, Essex County, is a required step prior to the DEP issuing formal drought warning measures for the following counties: Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset and Union.
In addition, the DEP today issued a drought watch for Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Monmouth, Ocean and Salem counties and has continued a drought watch in Sussex and Warren counties that has been in effect since July. The designation of a watch formally urges residents of these counties to voluntarily conserve water.
“The recent rainfall we received, while spanning several days, was not enough to reverse downward trends in our water supplies due to extended dry weather patterns over most the year,” DEP Commissioner Bob Martin said. “It is very important for residents and businesses across New Jersey to voluntarily conserve water – especially regarding non-essential water use, such as watering lawns and landscaping – until we get sufficient rainfall to replenish supplies.”
Read more here: http://www.nj.gov/dep/newsrel/2016/16_0093.htm
DROUGHT WATCH ISSUED FOR LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN PART OF STATE
(16/P93) TRENTON – The Department of Environmental Protection has scheduled an Oct. 20 public hearing in anticipation of designating a formal drought warning for 12 counties in the northeastern, central and northern coastal regions of New Jersey, a step that will enable the DEP to work with suppliers to balance storage among reservoir systems.
The hearing, scheduled for 10 a.m. at the Millburn Free Public Library, 200 Glen Avenue, Millburn, Essex County, is a required step prior to the DEP issuing formal drought warning measures for the following counties: Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset and Union.
In addition, the DEP today issued a drought watch for Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Monmouth, Ocean and Salem counties and has continued a drought watch in Sussex and Warren counties that has been in effect since July. The designation of a watch formally urges residents of these counties to voluntarily conserve water.
“The recent rainfall we received, while spanning several days, was not enough to reverse downward trends in our water supplies due to extended dry weather patterns over most the year,” DEP Commissioner Bob Martin said. “It is very important for residents and businesses across New Jersey to voluntarily conserve water – especially regarding non-essential water use, such as watering lawns and landscaping – until we get sufficient rainfall to replenish supplies.”
Read more here: http://www.nj.gov/dep/newsrel/2016/16_0093.htm
