RAIN?

Teegate

Teegate

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Apparently, quite a few places in the pines received a ton of rain.
 
Boyd

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Got about an inch and a half here. The NWS has a new "Rainfall Observation Page". According to it, some places got over twice that much. It shows almost 4 inches in Tabernacle, for example.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=...er=ALL&mrms=true&mrms_type=24&mrms_opacity=40

Screen Shot 2021-07-03 at 7.31.24 AM.png
 
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Boyd

Boyd

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Looks like we could get as much as 4" of rain from Elsa, the wind forecast isn't too bad though.

Thursday Night: South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Friday: South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Screen Shot 2021-07-07 at 7.40.15 AM.png
 
Boyd

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Hurricane Local Statement​

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 31...CORRECTED
DEZ003-004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-080800-

Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 31...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ AL052021
549 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This product covers New Jersey, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania,
and the Eastern Short of Maryland

**Elsa is Expected to Impact Portions of southern Delaware and
eastern New Jersey late Thursday into Friday morning**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Atlantic, Atlantic
Coastal Cape May, Cape May, Caroline, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal
Ocean, Delaware Beaches, Eastern Monmouth, Inland Sussex,
Ocean, Queen Annes, Southeastern Burlington, Talbot, and
Western Monmouth

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 780 miles southwest of Atlantic City NJ or about 730
miles southwest of Dover DE
- 30.8N 83.4W
- Storm Intensity 45 mph
- Movement North or 10 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa made landfall along the west coast of Florida
early this morning and is continuing to track northeast through Georgia
into the Carolinas later tonight into Thursday morning. Elsa is then
forecast to move across southern Delaware and eastern New Jersey late
Thursday night into Friday morning. Elsa is then forecast to continue
to accelerate and move northeast, away from New Jersey, late Friday
morning.

The main threats with this system are heavy rainfall resulting in
flash flooding as well as some river flooding, as well as tropical
storm force winds, especially near the coast. In addition, dangerous
marine conditions will occur, along with the potential for dangerous
rip currents.

Two to four inches of rainfall are forecast Thursday afternoon into
Friday morning. Heavy rainfall will result in a threat of localized
flash flooding. Dangerous marine conditions are also expected to
develop along the Delaware Bay waters south of Slaughter Beach and
along the Atlantic Coastal Waters for all of Delaware and up towards
Sandy Hook, NJ. Tropical Storm force winds will be most likely across
the waters with seas building to 6 to 9 feet over the waters.
Dangerous rip currents will likely occur along the ocean beaches of
Delaware and New Jersey.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHEAST MARYLAND. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
arroyos, and ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.
Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across New Jersey,
Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across New Jersey,
Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
 
Boyd

Boyd

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Woke up at 3:00 AM when the tornado alarm went off on my phone saying I should seek shelter immediately! Spent a half hour in the closet but nothing happened (AFAIK), things look OK this morning. The storm was literally right on top of me!

tornado.jpg
 
Boyd

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Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 949 AM EDT Fri Jul 9 2021 ...PRECIPITATION REPORTS FROM TROPICAL STORM ELSA CORRECTED... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Delaware... ...Kent County... Felton 1.65 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Dover 0.79 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Frederica DE 0.58 in 0925 AM 07/09 DEOS2 ...Sussex County... Seaford 2.30 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Redden 2.21 in 0908 AM 07/09 RAWS Georgetown 1.91 in 0926 AM 07/09 ASOS Seaford 1.88 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Lewes 1.85 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Milton 1.57 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Rehoboth Beach 1.38 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Lewes 1.33 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Rehoboth Beach 1.33 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Greenwood 1.13 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Selbyville 1.07 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Maryland... ...Caroline County... Tuckahoe 0.98 in 0916 AM 07/09 RAWS ...Queen Annes County... Centreville 0.81 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Grasonville 0.61 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Talbot County... Cambridge 2.62 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Easton 1.33 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Oxford 0.95 in 0929 AM 07/09 CWOP Saint Michaels 0.94 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Easton Newnam 0.89 in 0850 AM 07/09 AWOS ...New Jersey... ...Atlantic County... Mays Landing 2.70 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Atlantic City 2.50 in 0924 AM 07/09 ASOS Folsom 2.26 in 0900 AM 07/09 HADS 2 ESE Hamilton Twp 2.20 in 0935 AM 07/09 AWS Mays Landing 1.83 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Northfield 1.42 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Forsythe 1.32 in 0925 AM 07/09 RAWS Jacques Cousteau Reserve 1.23 in 0830 AM 07/09 HADS Mullica Twp. 1.04 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Egg Harbor Twp. 0.68 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Hammonton 0.60 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Burlington County... Medford 2.47 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Mount Laurel 2.07 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP New Lisbon (R2) (R2) (R2) 1.96 in 0800 AM 07/09 HADS Medford Village 1.94 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Shamong 1.93 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Lumberton 1.89 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Westampton 1.88 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Shamong 1.83 in 0900 AM 07/09 HADS Coyle Field 1.81 in 0910 AM 07/09 RAWS Mount Holly 1.79 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Mount Laurel Township 1.79 in 0920 AM 07/09 CWOP Cinnaminson 1.71 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Cinnaminson 1.69 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Delran 1.67 in 0929 AM 07/09 URBANET Medford Twp. 1.50 in 0830 AM 07/09 HADS Tabernacle 1.50 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP McGuire AFB 1.32 in 0856 AM 07/09 AWOS Oswego Lake 0.66 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Coyle Field 0.56 in 0910 AM 07/09 HADS ...Camden County... Atco 2.66 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Blue Anchor 2.50 in 0910 AM 07/09 RAWS Glendora 2.31 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Voorhees 2.20 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Haddon Township 2.07 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Haddonfield 1.98 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP 1 SSW Springdale 1.54 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Sicklerville 0.72 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Cherry Hill 0.54 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Cape May County... Ocean City 2.94 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Wildwood 2.63 in 0856 AM 07/09 AWOS Woodbine 2.09 in 0911 AM 07/09 RAWS Sea Isle City 1.55 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Cape May Point 1.24 in 0925 AM 07/09 CWOP Cape May Court House 0.79 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Dennis Twp. 0.72 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Woodbine 0.68 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Cumberland County... Millville 2.35 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Fortesque 0.72 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Greenwich 0.52 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Gloucester County... Washington Township 2.46 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Mullica Hill 1.45 in 0925 AM 07/09 CWOP Mickleton 1.05 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Logan Twp. 0.68 in 0930 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Sewell 0.62 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Piney Hollow 0.59 in 0920 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Hunterdon County... Milford 0.66 in 0929 AM 07/09 CWOP Ringoes 0.58 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Lambertville 0.50 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Mercer County... Lawrence Township 1.37 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Ewing 1.22 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP 1.3 E Ewing 1.14 in 0830 AM 07/09 HADS Hamilton Township 1.13 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Mercerville 1.12 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Hamilton 0.89 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Trenton 0.86 in 0853 AM 07/09 ASOS Princeton 0.72 in 0935 AM 07/09 AWS Princeton 0.54 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Middlesex County... Carteret 3.06 in 0925 AM 07/09 CWOP Woodbridge 2.31 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Old Bridge 1.65 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Monroe Twp 1.60 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Old Bridge 1.45 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Sayreville 1.45 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Deans 1.14 in 0910 AM 07/09 RAWS Jamesburg 1.06 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Kendall Park 0.86 in 0925 AM 07/09 CWOP Edison 0.62 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP 2.3 E Spotswood 0.53 in 0915 AM 07/09 HADS ...Monmouth County... Keyport 2.89 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP South Howell 2.20 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Hazlet 1.83 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Fair Haven 1.76 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Matawan 1.46 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP N.Middletown 1.35 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Millstone Township 1.34 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Howell 1.15 in 0926 AM 07/09 CWOP Clarksburg 1.13 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Monmouth Beach 1.07 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Monmouth Beach 0.90 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Port Monmouth 0.90 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Wall Twp. 0.89 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Sea Girt 0.87 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Howell 0.63 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Holmdel 0.62 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Morris County... Picatinny Lake 2.61 in 0830 AM 07/09 HADS Denville 2.60 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Whippany 2.15 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP 1.4 NW Florham Park 1.84 in 0845 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Madison 1.53 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP 2.2 SW Denville 1.48 in 0845 AM 07/09 IFLOWS East Hanover 1.42 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Ironia 1.24 in 0845 AM 07/09 HADS West Wharton 1.20 in 0845 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Montville 1.15 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Long Hill Twsp 1.11 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Succasunna 1.04 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP 1.3 N Pleasant Plains 0.96 in 0845 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Randolph 0.95 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Lake Hopatcong 0.88 in 0915 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Stirling 0.60 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP 2.1 NE Long Valley 0.56 in 0830 AM 07/09 HADS Lincoln Park 0.56 in 0915 AM 07/09 HADS Mine Hill 0.56 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Succasunna 0.51 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Ocean County... Brick 3.02 in 0938 AM 07/09 Trained Spotter Brick 2.96 in 0925 AM 07/09 CWOP Herbertsville 2.80 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Brielle 2.77 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Point Pleasant Beach 2.43 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Brick 2.36 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Seaside Heights 2.32 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Brick 2.25 in 0916 AM 07/09 CWOP Toms River 1.69 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Jackson 1.57 in 0910 AM 07/09 RAWS Surf City 1.53 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP South Seaside Park 1.49 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Island Heights 1.41 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Jackson 1.29 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Beach Haven 1.28 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Toms River 1.04 in 0756 AM 07/09 AWOS Lakewood 1.02 in 0915 AM 07/09 HADS Seaside Heights 0.66 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET Toms River 0.55 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Salem County... 0.6 S Woodstown 1.02 in 0915 AM 07/09 HADS ...Somerset County... 1.8 SE Pottersville 0.77 in 0830 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Blackwells Mills 0.73 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP 0.6 E Belle Mead 0.71 in 0915 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Skillman 0.67 in 0933 AM 07/09 CWOP Somerset 0.66 in 0845 AM 07/09 HADS Bridgewater 0.63 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP 2.2 W Belle Mead 0.56 in 0915 AM 07/09 IFLOWS Somerville 0.52 in 0853 AM 07/09 ASOS Green Brook 0.50 in 0916 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Sussex County... Andover 2.01 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Spart 1.40 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Sparta 1.19 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP LaFayette 0.80 in 0935 AM 07/09 CWOP Montague 0.72 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Hopatcong 0.58 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP 2.1 E Barry Lakes 0.56 in 0845 AM 07/09 HADS Sussex 0.53 in 0919 AM 07/09 ASOS ...Warren County... Hackettstown 1.54 in 0925 AM 07/09 NJWXNET ...Pennsylvania... ...Bucks County... Langhorne 1.49 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Holland 1.19 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Buckingham 1.10 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP Perkasie 1.08 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Doylestown 0.96 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Furlong 0.91 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Quakertown 0.80 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Chalfont 0.78 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Newtown 0.76 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Doylestown 0.70 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Washington Crossing 0.64 in 0900 AM 07/09 HADS Warrington 0.60 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Kintnersville 0.52 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Carbon County... Lake Harmony 0.56 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Chester County... Glenmoore 0.54 in 0932 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Montgomery County... Willow Grove 0.87 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Willow Grove 0.61 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP Norristown (Eagleville ES) 0.54 in 0929 AM 07/09 URBANET North Hills 0.53 in 0927 AM 07/09 CWOP ...Philadelphia County... Philadelphia Northeast 1.27 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Philadelphia 1.08 in 0934 AM 07/09 CWOP Philadelphia 0.67 in 0931 AM 07/09 CWOP Philadelphia International A 0.56 in 0854 AM 07/09 ASOS Phildelphia 0.50 in 0930 AM 07/09 CWOP
 
Boyd

Boyd

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Boyd

Boyd

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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 382 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 110 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 382 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029- 031-033-035-037-039-041-180300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0382.210717T1710Z-210718T0300Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN
 
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Boyd

Boyd

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Aside from parts of the shore, not much in the pines right now, but there are storms farther South that may be headed our way this evening.

Screen Shot 2021-07-17 at 2.40.10 PM.jpg
 
Boyd

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 385 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1155 AM EDT WED JUL 21 2021 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 385 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029- 031-033-035-037-039-041-220000- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0385.210721T1555Z-210722T0000Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN $$

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdspd

"A cold front swinging across the Northeast this afternoon will help spark thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail. The area highlighted as having the greatest severe thunderstorm threat extends from Cape Cod to the Delmarva Peninsula. This cold front will also help rid the atmosphere of wildfire smoke that was recently transported from western North America."
 
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