Winter Storm Watch

NJChileHead

Explorer
Dec 22, 2011
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630
When I was a young man, a feisty woman described snowstorms to me with a wink and a smile as "you never know how long it's gonna last or how many inches you're gonna get".

And that's all I've got to say about that...
 
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Teegate

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Sep 17, 2002
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When I was a young man, a feisty woman described snowstorms to me with a wink and a smile as "you never know how long it's gonna last or how many inches you're gonna get".

And that's all I've got to say about that...
Are you sure Forest Gump didn't say that? :D
 

Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Cleared off the car, was surprised to find about 8" of very heavy snow but pretty easy to brush off since the bottom layer was wet. Drove down to the end of my little road just for fun, hadn't been cleared (no surprise with maybe 12 homes on a 4 mile road). Pretty slippery but no problem going slow. This could be a real mess tomorrow morning after a 12 degree night. 47 degrees on Wednesday ought get rid of most of it, but there could be another one coming on Friday.

We really haven't seen any "heavy" snow here today, just slow and steady. No wind at all right now.
 

enormiss

Explorer
Aug 18, 2015
607
409
Atco NJ
It's funny going back and looking at all the different total's that were forecast. Covered about every possibility.
 
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Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Here are the snowfall totals, amazing how much variation there is. 13 inches for Estell Manor - I really was at ground zero for this one. :siren:

Code:
...Atlantic County...
Egg Harbor Twp.              13.5 in   0730 PM 01/03   Public               
Estell Manor                 13.3 in   0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Absecon                      13.0 in   0343 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Atlantic City International  13.0 in   0700 PM 01/03   ASOS                 
Northfield                   12.4 in   0530 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
3 NE Hamilton Twp            12.0 in   0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 NNE Somers Point           11.4 in   0405 PM 01/03   Public               
Galloway Twp                 11.2 in   0500 PM 01/03   Public               
Somers Point                 11.0 in   0420 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Mays Landing                 11.0 in   0527 PM 01/03   Broadcast Media      
Egg Harbor Twp               10.0 in   0302 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Corbin City                  9.8 in    0644 PM 01/03   Public               
1 ESE Egg Harbor Twp.        9.5 in    0345 PM 01/03   Public               
Port Republic                9.0 in    0922 PM 01/03   Public               
Hammonton                    8.5 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Burlington County...
1 ESE Leisuretowne           2.8 in    0120 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
2 W Medford Twp.             2.0 in    1121 AM 01/03   Public               
1 WNW South Jersey Regional  1.2 in    0544 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
Lumberton                    0.8 in    0142 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Delran                       0.6 in    1230 PM 01/03   NWS Employee         
Mount Holly WFO              0.6 in    0100 PM 01/03   Official NWS Obs     

...Camden County...
Winslow Twp                  5.5 in    0130 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SW Pine Hill               4.0 in    1200 PM 01/03   Public               
1 WSW Lindenwold             4.0 in    0300 PM 01/03   Public               
Gloucester Twp               3.8 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Lindenwold                   3.5 in    0215 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cherry Hill                  3.0 in    0103 PM 01/03   Public               
Haddon Heights               1.6 in    1227 PM 01/03   Public               
Bellmawr                     1.3 in    1200 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Cape May County...
Ocean City                   14.0 in   0522 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Seaville                     13.0 in   0643 PM 01/03   Public               
Petersburg                   12.5 in   0427 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Villas                       11.5 in   0426 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cape May                     11.5 in   0500 PM 01/03   Public               
Wildwood Crest               11.5 in   0628 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Ocean View                   11.3 in   0147 PM 01/03   Public               
Wildwood                     11.3 in   0600 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
North Cape May               10.3 in   0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Marmora                      9.7 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SE Marmora                 9.0 in    0500 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Woodbine                     8.5 in    0922 PM 01/03   Public               
North Wildwood               8.0 in    0400 PM 01/03   Public               

...Cumberland County...
Port Norris                  10.7 in   0501 PM 01/03   Public               
Millville                    6.3 in    0100 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Newport                      6.0 in    0330 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Cedarville                   5.5 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Bridgeton                    5.0 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Upper Deerfield Twp          4.5 in    0100 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      

...Gloucester County...
Newfield                     6.5 in    0520 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Franklinville                5.5 in    0330 PM 01/03   Public               
Williamstown                 5.3 in    0248 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Washington Twp               5.0 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Greenwich Twp                4.5 in    0250 PM 01/03   Public               
Mantua                       4.0 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Glassboro                    3.4 in    1127 AM 01/03   Public               
West Deptford Twp            3.4 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               

...Ocean County...
Little Egg Harbor Twp        13.2 in   0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Barnegat Twp                 10.1 in   0314 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Manahawkin                   9.0 in    0620 PM 01/03   Public               
Tuckerton                    8.5 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 E Forked River             8.0 in    0800 PM 01/03   Public               
Beach Haven                  7.0 in    0550 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 NNE Beach Haven            6.0 in    0200 PM 01/03   Public               
Forked River                 6.0 in    0405 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Barnegat                     5.8 in    0100 PM 01/03   Public               
Waretown                     5.5 in    0230 PM 01/03   Public               
1 SSE Stafford Twp.          5.0 in    1230 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Bayville                     4.0 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Manchester Twp               3.9 in    0400 PM 01/03   Public               
Toms River                   2.0 in    0254 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
Brick                        1.8 in    0400 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter      
1 N Toms River               1.0 in    0401 PM 01/03   Public               
Lakewood Twp                 0.5 in    0153 PM 01/03   Public               
Jackson                      0.3 in    0300 PM 01/03   Trained Spotter

Snowfall map;

 

Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Projections for the next one (Thursday and Friday)

Screen Shot 2022-01-04 at 8.35.19 AM.png
 

Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
306 PM EST Wed Jan 5 2022

Inland Sussex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Atlantic-
Cape May-Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of Georgetown, Freehold, Sandy Hook,
Jackson, Hammonton, Cape May Court House,
and Wharton State Forest
306 PM EST Wed Jan 5 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4
inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central and southern New Jersey and
southern Delaware.

* WHEN...From 10 PM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread accumulating snowfall is
expected across the advisory Thursday night area with rates up
to 1 inch per hour possible. A narrow band of locally higher
amounts of 4 to 6 inches or higher is possible as well. The snow
may mix with sleet at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
 

Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
Updated forecast is pretty similar, and the labels are still confusing, you have to look at the color scale to understand what the map means. 3-4 inches for most of the Pines, those 2-3" numbers are just for the coast. Roads are pretty good around here today but my unpaved driveway is a disaster with huge mud puddles. Cold nights return tomorrow, so I guess it will all freeze over.

Screen Shot 2022-01-05 at 5.44.39 PM.png
 

Boyd

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Jul 31, 2004
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Ben's Branch, Stephen Creek
This is starting to sound a lot like the last one, with totals increasing and the possibility of heavy bands. :siren:

* Confidence is high that widespread accumulating snowfall will occur.
* Timing is tonight through Friday morning with most snow falling between 1 AM and 7 AM.
* A narrow band of heavy snow could produce snow rates of up to 2” per hour for a brief period.


Screen Shot 2022-01-06 at 8.52.36 AM.png


* A period of snow is expected to bring widespread accumulating snowfall to the region tonight through Friday morning with most snow falling between 1 AM and 7 AM.

*This will impact travel particularly during the Friday morning commute.

* Storm total snowfall of 2 to 5 inches is expected across much of the
region.

* A narrow band of heavy snow may setup with amounts of up to 6 inches. The highest probability for this being south and east of the I-95 corridor.

* Within the narrow band, snowfall rates up to 2 inches per hour are possible.

*Gale force winds are expected across the Atlantic coastal waters and Lower Delaware Bay.
 

RednekF350

Piney
Feb 20, 2004
5,056
3,327
Pestletown, N.J.
I always check out the Forecast Discussion from the National Weather Service. It’s very technical but they present the data without hyping it up like the news stations do.
I have converted a few people to NOAA users over the years but very few. It seems that most people actually like McWeather, as I call anything other than NOAA, with the bells, whistles, pop-up ads, sensationalized forecasts and irritating alerts every time a cloud glides by.

I use NOAA daily for planning fieldwork and I use it for marine forecasts and real-time sea condition data for fishing. It's also a great resource for gathering climatic data for work purposes.
 
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